Local Agendas

The Aarhus Research Group on Local Policy Agendas uses agenda items on the council meetings in the 98 Danish municipalities to address major research questions in political science. We have collected a database covering 10,000 council meeting agendas in the 98 Danish municipalities since the major organizational reform in 2007 which formed the 98 municipalities. In the database, we classify each agenda item – about 250,000 in total – on the agenda in the council meetings using a codebook consisting of 189 issue categories. This allows us to track over time and across municipalities if, for instance, the issue of climate changes has entered the local agenda and to what extend underperforming schools draw the attention of local politicians. This data provides a unique laboratory to rigorously test major research questions in political science. 

The Aarhus Research Group on Local Policy Agendas is part of the Comparative Agendas Project (CAP). This is a vibrant international research network of scholars from around the world who share an interest in empirically tracking and analyzing policy agendas.

The next step in our research agenda is to dig deeper into our data in order to contribute to ongoing scholarly debates in political science. Moreover, we have initiated a joint research project with Norwegian colleagues to collect a dataset on Norwegian municipal council agendas. This will allow the first set of comparative analysis of local policy agendas.

The first take on our research agenda has been collected in our book on Palgrave MacMillan:

Explaining Local Policy Agendas. Institutions, Problems, Elections and Actors

By Peter B. Mortensen, Matt W. Loftis, and Henrik B. Seeberg


Abstract

Building on hundreds of thousands of systematically collected and content-coded local policy agenda observations, this book examines – theoretically and empirically – the policy agenda effects of four central aspects of any political system: the institutions that structure politics; the problems confronting the political system; the occurrence of regular elections; and the actors navigating the political system.

Endorsements

“This is the first large scale empirical test of a theory of what determines the content of the governmental agenda. With hundreds of governments to compare, the authors have a unique opportunity to explore the determinants of government attention, not just to describe it. The results should be of interest to a wide range of scholars. Anyone who wants to know why governments do what they do should read this book.”

— Frank R. Baumgartner, Richard J. Richardson Distinguished Professor of Political Science, UNC at Chapel Hill

“Peter B. Mortensen, Matt W. Loftis, and Henrik B. Seeberg have written an important book, both for the study of policy agendas and for local politics. The subnational case study fills a crucial gap in our understanding of the world of agenda-setting behind national politics. It also provides a unique set of data to test out classic questions in urban politics and policy.”

—Peter John, Professor of Public Policy, King’s College London

“This inspiring book investigates classic questions in political science by means of innovative analyses of local government agendas. The book is essential reading for local government students and scholars. It provides important knowledge about how political systems at the local level work, and the rigorous analyses profoundly demonstrate how local level institutions and politics can and should be studied.”

—Signy Irene Vabo, Professor of Political Science, University of Oslo

Find out more and buy the book on Palgrave MacMillan's website.


Data and codebooks

Our study of local policy agendas relies on a massive dataset of local council agendas in all of the 98 Danish municipalities from 2007-2016. In some instances, the data extend back to the early 1990s. We have collected more than 250,000 agenda items and classified them by the political issue on which each focuses. Our coding system includes 25 major topics and 189 subtopics covering the gamut of Danish local government activities, for instance, primary schools, elder care, unemployment, park maintenance, etc. These data allow scholars to trace political attention precisely and consistently across the 98 local councils.

Important info when you download the data

  • The data come in different versions in the zip-file. Please notice that the csv​​ file should be opened using "UTF-8" format.
  • The data is organized at the level of individual agenda-item in a council agenda in a municipality at a given date.
  • If you use the data, please cite: 
    Mortensen, Peter B., Loftis, Matt W., and Henrik B. Seeberg (2022). Explaining local policy agendas: Institutions, problems, elections, and actors. Palgrave Macmillan.

We coded the topic of each of the 250,000 agenda items. To do so, we applied an adapted version of the issue-coding scheme of the comparative agendas project (CAP; See: www.comparativeagendas.net) to categorize the issue content of each item on the agenda. The CAP codebook applies topic codes to agenda items at the national level of government and therefore it includes a number of categories that are not relevant at the local level, such as foreign affairs and defense. At the same time, the national-level CAP codebook groups together certain policy areas that we must treat as distinct policy areas at the local level, such as daycare, primary schools, and secondary schools. We preserve much of the structure of the CAP codebook, and, where necessary, recode select portions of the codebook to harmonize them with the powers and responsibilities of local governments.


Download codebook

The following codebooks have been developed for the coding of Danish local government agendas. You can find the codebook in a Danish version as well as in a translated English version.


Trained student coders, in combination with supervised machine learning for classification, assigned one of the 189 subtopic codes to each agenda item in the data. We applied machine-learning tools both to boost the efficiency of the coding process and to improve its final accuracy. The procedure began with student coders, who applied subtopic labels to an initial data set of twenty-five thousand agenda items randomly selected from the data. With these coded data in hand, we turned to the old and well-understood supervised classification algorithm, Naïve Bayes, to get computer-generated predictions for the correct subtopics of all the remaining data. At this point, the data coding was a months-long process of alternating between human coders and the machine-learning algorithm. Student coders corrected random selections of predictions from the algorithm to check its accuracy. Then, we added the newly corrected data to the training data and ran the algorithm again and predicted subtopics for the entire data set. When the accuracy of the computer-generated coding converged to a performance level better than our intercoder reliability scores for human coders, we considered the process complete and built our final data set by combing our human-coded training data with the remainder of our collected data labeled by the final trained algorithm. A total of around 83,000 city council agenda items, 28.5% of that data, were coded solely using automated tools.

Our final computer-generated predictions achieved accuracy rates over 80%, which we verified with a final check from student coders. Naturally, this also implies that our computer classifications suffer from a nearly 20% error rate. However, the bar for success is set by the best alternative. In our case, we asked student coders to apply one of 189 policy subtopics to thousands of sentences. We estimated that well-trained student coders generally achieved intercoder reliability rates—the common standard for accuracy of human coding—under 80%. Our computer accuracy rate was at least as good as human performance, and when applied to national-level data our model performed at a level comparable to other algorithms (see Loftis and Mortensen 2020). Furthermore, computer predictions were fast and cheap, and their errors were largely confined to distinguishing between similar categories and identifying the rarest subtopics in the data. For the most frequent subtopics in our data, computer performance was nearly perfect.


Link to the Comparative Agendas master codebook: https://www.comparativeagendas.net/pages/master-codebook

Publications

Negative Feedback, Political Attention, and Public Policy

Bækgaard, M., Larsen, S. K. & Mortensen, P. B. (2019). Negative Feedback, Political Attention, and Public PolicyPublic Administration97(1), 210-225. https://doi.org/10.1111/padm.12569

The article won the Haldane Prize for best paper published in Public Administration in 2019.

Abstract:
More than 50 years of policy research has provided evidence of negative feedback where self-correcting mechanisms reinforce stability in public policies over time. While such mechanisms are at the heart of understanding change and stability in public policies, little attention has been given to the responses of individual policy-makers to public policies as a potential driver of negative feedback. Based on a unique survey dataset of spending preferences of local government politicians covering more than 90 Danish municipalities, three years, seven policy issues, and around 3,000 entries, we find that the expressed spending preferences of politicians are indeed negatively affected by previous spending levels. Moreover, such negative feedback effects are stronger, the less the political attention to the issue and even disappear at high levels of attention. Our analysis thus provides important evidence on the micro foundations and conditions of negative feedback in public policy.

The Bureaucracy and the Policy Agenda

Bækgaard, M., Mortensen, P. B. & Seeberg, H. B. (2018). The Bureaucracy and the Policy AgendaJournal of Public Administration Research and Theory28(2), 239-253. https://doi.org/10.1093/jopart/mux045

Abstract:
The public administration literature has been dominated by questions about how politicians can control the bureaucracy’s application and implementation of laws at the back end of the policy process. Much less scholarly attention is devoted to the influence of the bureaucracy on the content and composition of the policy agenda at the front end of the process. Agenda setting is a fundamental aspect of politics, and this article examines the influence of the bureaucracy on the policy agenda and the conditions for this influence. The core proposition is that the policy agenda is larger and more diverse in political systems in which administrative professionals take up a larger share of the bureaucracy. This effect is expected to be mitigated by the involvement of elected representatives in the policymaking process. The empirical analysis supports these expectations. The findings are based on a time-series cross-section dataset from 98 Danish municipalities over 7 years containing a detailed coding of local council agendas and rich register data.

Collaborating with the Machines: A hybrid method for classifying policy documents

Loftis, M. & Mortensen, P. B. (2020). Collaborating with the Machines: A hybrid method for classifying policy documentsPolicy Studies Journal48(1), 184-206. https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.12245

Abstract:
Governments produce vast and growing quantities of freely available text: laws, rules, budgets, press releases, and so forth. This information flood is facilitating important, growing research programs in policy and public administration. However, tightening research budgets and the information's vast scale forces political science and public policy to aspire to do more with less. Meeting this challenge means applied researchers must innovate. This article makes two contributions for practical text coding—the process of sorting government text into researcher-defined coding schemes. First, we propose a method of combining human coding with automated computer classification for large data sets. Second, we present a well-known algorithm for automated text classification, the Naïve Bayes classifier, and provide software for working with it. We argue and provide evidence that this method can help applied researchers using human coders to get more from their research budgets, and we demonstrate the method using classical examples from the study of policy agendas.

Why Are Some Policy Agendas Larger than Others? 

Mortensen, Peter Bjerre; Seeberg, Henrik Bech Why Are Some Policy Agendas Larger than Others? In: Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 44, No. 2, 2016, p. 156-175. https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.12134

Abstract:
Most research on policy agendas is based on the assumption that space on the agenda is fixed and, hence, focuses on how problems compete for this limited agenda space. This article holds that policy agendas may be limited but not fixed, meaning that problems may not always be traded off but confronted through a larger policy agenda. Based on an extensive collection of local council agendas from 98 Danish municipalities over time, this article investigates variations in agenda size across local governments and examines the extent to which this reflects the local problem environment. The analysis reveals that a large council agenda arises in response to an unfriendly problem environment, particularly if there are many committees to channel problems onto the agenda and, to a lesser extent, if center-left parties hold office.

Media coverage

Our book has received considerable media attention in Denmark, and we include some of these articles and interviews in the following for those capable of reading Danish.